Risk Radar

AI-powered risk analysis with institutional-grade interpretation.

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Daily
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Monthly
-3.5
Risk Off
Overall
-1.66
Neutral/Mixed

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Overall Risk Assessment

Overall Market Risk Trend

Overall Score
-1.66
Neutral/Mixed
Aug 27Aug 31Sep 2Sep 4Sep 8Sep 9Sep 11Sep 15Sep 17Sep 21Sep 22Sep 24Sep 28Sep 30Oct 2-10.58-1.58+7.42+24.46
30-Day Overall Risk Evolution

Multi-Timeframe Risk Analysis Table

Asset contributions for the 30D timeframe. Upgrade to Essentials for 7D, DataMax for 1D.

AssetTypeWeight
1D Change
(25% weight)
DataMax+
1D Score
7D Change
(40% weight)
Essentials+
7D Score
30D Change
(35% weight)
30D Score
Composite
Weighted
10Y Yield
⚡ Consistent
Treasury Yield
10
+0.42%▲ 1.2-1.05%▼ -0.8+11.39%▼ -11.4
-55.1
Nasdaq 100
⚡ Consistent
Equity Index
10
+0.42%▲ 1.2-1.05%▼ -0.8+5.71%▲ 5.7
+25.1
Junk Bonds
Junk Bonds
15
+0.42%▲ 1.2-1.05%▼ -0.8-2.78%▼ -2.8
-21.9
Bitcoin
Crypto
5
+0.42%▲ 1.2-1.05%▼ -0.8+9.48%▲ 9.5
+18.0
2Y Yield
Treasury Yield
8
+0.42%▲ 1.2-1.05%▼ -0.8+8.88%▼ -8.9
-14.9
IG Bonds
⚡ Consistent
IG Bonds
8
+0.42%▲ 1.2-1.05%▼ -0.8-3.34%▼ -3.3
-14.0
Nikkei 225
⚡ Consistent
Equity Index
4
+0.42%▲ 1.2-1.05%▼ -0.8+3.16%▲ 3.2
+13.6
US Dollar
Currency Index
12
+0.42%▲ 1.2-1.05%▼ -0.8+2.34%▼ -2.3
-13.5
Dow Jones
Equity Index
8
+0.42%▲ 1.2-1.05%▼ -0.8-3.55%▼ -3.6
-13.0
DAX
⚡ Consistent
Equity Index
5
+0.42%▲ 1.2-1.05%▼ -0.8-3.48%▼ -3.5
-11.1
US Oil
Commodity
5
+0.42%▲ 1.2-1.05%▼ -0.8-0.97%▲ 1.0
-10.3
Breakevens
⚡ Consistent
Inflation Expectation
6
+0.42%▲ 1.2-1.05%▼ -0.8+2.16%▼ -2.2
-9.6
Forwards
⚡ Consistent
Inflation Expectation
5
+0.42%▲ 1.2-1.05%▼ -0.8+2.16%▼ -2.2
-8.0
SP500
Equity Index
15
+0.42%▲ 1.2-1.05%▼ -0.8+0.73%▲ 0.7
+5.0
VIX
Volatility
20
+0.42%▲ 1.2-1.05%▼ -0.8+0.72%▼ -0.7
+4.2
2-10 Spread
Curve Analysis
15
+0.42%▲ 1.2-1.05%▼ -0.8+0.09%● 0.0
0.0
Gold
⚡ Consistent
Commodity/Safe Haven
4
+0.42%▲ 1.2-1.05%▼ -0.8-5.80%● 0.0
0.0
Put/Call Ratio
0.90
Options Sentiment
4
+0.42%▲ 1.2-1.05%▼ -0.8-5.26%● 0.0
0.0
AGGREGATE SCORES
-3.47
Risk Off
Overall
-1.66
Neutral/Mixed

How to Read This Table

Asset Scores: Each timeframe shows the asset's % change and directional score. Positive scores favor Risk On, negative scores favor Risk Off.
Composite Score: Weighted blend of all timeframes (1D×25% + 7D×40% + 30D×35%) × asset weight.
⚡ Consistent: Asset moving in same direction across all timeframes (30% amplification applied).
Aggregate Scores: Total risk sentiment for each timeframe (-10 to +10 scale).

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How Our Risk Analysis Works

A multi-dimensional, institutional-grade risk assessment model

Multi-Asset Class Coverage

Analyzes 18 instruments across:

  • • Equity indices (SPX, Nasdaq, Dow, FTSE, DAX, Nikkei)
  • • Volatility metrics (VIX fear gauge)
  • • Hedging assets (Gold: Inflation/Debasement; USD, JPY: Safety)
  • • Risk currencies (AUD, NZD, EUR, GBP)
  • • Credit markets (High Yield, Investment Grade)
  • • Treasury yields (US 10Y, 2Y) & yield curve
  • • Commodities (Oil, Silver)
  • • Options sentiment (CBOE Put/Call Ratio)

Multi-Timeframe Analysis

Weighted scoring across three timeframes:

  • • 1-Day (25% weight): Captures immediate sentiment shifts
  • • 7-Day (40% weight): Identifies emerging trends
  • • 30-Day (35% weight): Confirms structural bias

Trend consistency bonuses applied when all timeframes align (amplifies conviction by 30%)

Institutional Positioning (COT)

Integrates CFTC Commitment of Traders data:

  • • Net speculative positioning (stock %)
  • • Weekly flow changes (accumulation/distribution)
  • • Contrarian signals at positioning extremes
  • • Combined 25% weight with price action (75%)

Identifies when "smart money" diverges from price - leading indicator of reversals

Advanced Weighting System

Each asset has a custom risk weight based on its importance:

  • • VIX (20 weight): Primary fear gauge
  • • High Yield Credit (15): Credit stress indicator
  • • S&P 500 (15): Equity risk appetite
  • • Dollar Index (12): Liquidity & Safety flows
  • • Yield Curve (15): Recession probability

Total: 50+ weighted inputs synthesized into single -10 to +10 score

Data Coverage Definition

Important Note: "Important" news data is strictly defined as the economic data and indicators that we explicitly track and report on TRADARS (e.g., CPI, NFP, GDP, Central Bank Rates). Other general news events are filtered out to maintain signal-to-noise ratio.

Educational Tool - Not Investment Advice

This risk analysis is provided for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, trading recommendations, or a guarantee of future market performance. Always conduct your own research and consult with qualified financial professionals before making investment decisions.